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Monday June 3rd, 2024
Bellwether

Sri Lanka interest rates are dictated by the IMF reserve target, not inflation

It is a shame that country with a 20-pct savings rate cannot maintain reserves and has to depreciate the currency

August 14, 2023 15 min read

Sri Lanka legislators should deny high inflation goal independence to the central bank

If parliament rubber stamps a 4-6-pct inflation target, a second default is more certain

July 31, 2023 12 min read

Sri Lanka central bank will be unaccountable as long it can punish victims

The new central bank goal and objective are a personification of the impossible trinity of monetary policy objectives

July 12, 2023 10 min read

Sri Lanka can cut rates now, keeping them down as credit picks up will hit rupee: Bellwether

Reserves can be collected by impoverishing the poor, or by taking in their savings

July 5, 2023 7 min read
Sri Lanka VAT increase is better than killing economic freedoms with income tax

Tax slabs should keep pace with inflation, dependent allowances should be considered

Sri Lanka has to hike rates, before a float to end forex crisis: Bellwether

At the current policy rates and sterilization of interventions, forex problems will not get better

Bellwether
January 18, 2022 16 min read

Sri Lanka should prepare to float, and promote parallel dollarization: Bellwether

The proposal to import cars with dollar earnings and pay taxes in dollars is absolutely correct

December 21, 2021 16 min read

Why the Sri Lanka rupee is depreciating creating currency crises: Bellwether

A Bellwether FAQ on the dangerous lack of note-issue banking know-how

Bellwether
November 9, 2021 27 min read
1

How Sri Lanka's IMF-backed 'Young Plan' fired a foreign debt death spiral: Bellwether

In all years with inflationary policy, debt after foreign reserves went up

Bellwether
September 16, 2021 18 min read

Sri Lanka's monetary meltdown will accelerate unless quick action is taken: Bellwether

Debt re-structuring to reduce gross financing needs will help

Bellwether
August 18, 2021 19 min read

Sri Lanka Minister follows Diocletian after printing money, but stops short of death penalty

Diocletian minted in copper in plenty what was scarce in silver, Sri Lanka is pumping liquidity in paper

Bellwether
August 13, 2021 5 min read

Sri Lanka economy bought to tipping point by monetary fallacies: Bellwether

Mercantilist fallacies have devasted countries at peace

Bellwether
August 11, 2021 21 min read

Sri Lanka to pick losers as omniscient elites drive interventionism to extremes: Bellwether

'A new type of superstition has got hold of people's minds, the worship of the state'

Bellwether
July 30, 2021 7 min read

Sri Lanka's central bank should guard against bankruptcy as Fed lights commodity fires

Sri Lanka's central bank is running out of reserves, a part of the remaining reserves are tied up in swaps, the country ...

Bellwether
April 19, 2021 25 min read

Sri Lanka debt crisis trapped in spurious Keynesian 'transfer problem' and MMT: Bellwether

In Sri Lanka politicians are blamed for the country's economic ills and rising default risk, but it is only partly their...

Bellwether
March 15, 2021 23 min read
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Latest Last
US Dollar 305.1018 305.3339
UK Pound 386.9523 387.2371
Euro 330.8712 332.1141
Aus Dollar 201.0018 201.4980
Yen 2.0266 2.0278
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
Latest Last
Indian Rupee 3.6453 3.5932
Korea Won 0.2342 0.2292
Oman Rial 780.3569 769.4973
Saudi Riyal 80.1114 78.9849
UAE Dirham 81.7952 80.6569
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
pts %
S&P SL20 2,573.80 1.00%
CSE All Share 9,073.41 0.65%
Turnover Rs million 1,591,766,524.95 1,029,335,694.32
Source: CSE
Latest Last
3-m bill 21.72 21.79
6-m bill 19.55 20.31
12-m bill 17.72 19.28
5-yr bond 21.00 22.53
8-yr bond 19.42 20.55
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
today yesterday
Overnight Money 13.93 14.00
Gilt Repo 13.50 14.00
I-m SLIBOR - -
Source: Central Bank/Indicative

How to fix Sri Lanka's debt crisis, unstable peg, avoid sudden stop event: Bellwether

Sri Lanka is facing a monumental state failure after denying economic and civil freedoms for decades

Bellwether
February 24, 2021 25 min read
3

Solving Sri Lanka's debt and monetary crisis sans the IMF, like Japan, Malaysia: Bellwether

The question is often asked whether Sri Lanka do without an International Monetary Fund program. It is certainly possi...

Bellwether
February 22, 2021 11 min read
1

Sri Lanka facing 2021 with reckless MMT, stimulus mania: Bellwether

Sri Lanka is heading for one of the biggest economic challenges in its history in 2021, with the central bank printing m...

Bellwether
January 26, 2021 15 min read

Why Sri Lanka cannot be a Singapore, a Chief Festus budget: Bellwether

Trade controls are coming back, with the Prebisch Springer hypothesis

Bellwether
December 21, 2020 18 min read
5

Why Sri Lanka cannot be a Vietnam, Coronavirus response: Bellwether

Sri Lanka was at one time talking about trying to be a Singapore, and then a Malaysia, and now it is talking about tryin...

December 1, 2020 10 min read
5

Sri Lanka constitution making: how democracy does not equal freedom: Bellwether

In Sri Lanka when the elected ruling class tries to amend the constitution and amass greater power at the expense of ind...

Bellwether
October 19, 2020 13 min read

How Sri Lanka, Latin America was busted by Fed money doctors creating strongmen, anti-Americanism: B...

Sri Lanka's monetary instability, the rising cost of living, falling living standards and the resultant strikes, revolut

Bellwether
September 8, 2020 19 min read
1

Sri Lanka's triple shackles converge to slam economy in Coronavirus crisis: Bellwether

The three fetters that shackle Sri Lanka's economic growth, peace and general happiness; monetary instability, regime un...

Bellwether
August 26, 2020 10 min read
1

Sri Lanka's economic consequences of the peace; monetary instability and trade lockdown: Bellwether

While Sri Lanka defeated the Tamil Tigers in 2009 and the Coronavirus in 2020 – the battle is not yet over – it is r...

Bellwether
July 23, 2020 6 min read

Sri Lanka growth stalls, per capita GDP drops US$200 in 2019 after monetary instability

Sri Lanka's per person gross domestic product had dropped 227 dollars to 3,852 dollars in 2019 after a the latest curren...

Bellwether
May 10, 2020 10 min read