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Monday June 3rd, 2024
Bellwether

Sri Lanka's rupee depreciation and economic crises; the deficit lie

Deficits do not rise much in the year that a currency crisis is triggered, but in the stabilization year

October 23, 2023 12 min read

Sri Lanka's new central bank act with John Law clause reverts to classical Mercantilism

Targeting GDP with easy money dates back to Scottish Mercantilist John Law and fully flexible policy to James Steuart.

October 17, 2023 13 min read

Sri Lanka should be cautious in expanding socialist leaning taxes

High direct tax rates, capital consumption taxes, are not a substitute for monetary stability

October 9, 2023 13 min read

Sri Lanka should be careful in over-relying on GFN at the expense of stability: Bellwether

Countries where inflationists cannot engage in macro-economic policy with money printing have low debt

September 11, 2023 7 min read
Sri Lanka should protest the 7-pct annual inflation target, not a 3-pct VAT hike

A positive inflation target denies private sector productivity gains to the poor

Sri Lanka is recovering, but threats from central bank, US policy

At the moment the central bank is providing monetary stability seen in the exchange rate and inflation

Sri Lanka's tragedy and the lost wisdom of D S Senanayake on money printing

That BOP deficits and reserve losses are caused by money printing is now hidden and victims are blamed

Bellwether
October 24, 2022 9 min read
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Sri Lanka rates elevated amid failed float and DDR fears

Fear of a DDR/IFR event drive rates even higher

Bellwether
September 19, 2022 13 min read

Sri Lanka is wrong to scapegoat expat workers over Undiyal: Bellwether

Indian billion dollar credit line also works Undiyal fashion

Bellwether
July 25, 2022 6 min read
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Sri Lanka, world's poor suffers from Fed's accidental discovery: Bellwether

It is through open market operations that money is printed to mis-target interest rates

Bellwether
June 15, 2022 13 min read
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Sri Lanka's central bank needs accountability and restraint, not independence: Bellwether

The absolute discretion to print money through flexible inflation targeting cum output gap targeting has to be blocked

Bellwether
June 1, 2022 12 min read

Sri Lanka can trigger food shortages as in medicines with new trade controls: Bellwether

Forcing food importers to use LCs can create food shortages.

April 29, 2022 11 min read

What Sri Lanka's IMF program should look like

Steep rate hikes are needed to save the rupee

Bellwether
April 7, 2022 15 min read

Sri Lanka has to work fast to contain multiple defaults as Tanzi bites: Bellwether

A flexible exchange rate fails because it is not rule bound

Bellwether
April 1, 2022 9 min read

Sri Lanka has to hike rates, ensure monetary fiscal co-ordination to help rupee: Bellwether

Monetary fiscal co-ordination comes from an International Monetary Fund

March 10, 2022 4 min read
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Sri Lanka use of reserves for imports is a deadly false choice: Bellwether

Sterilized currency defence, without an accompanying rise in rates, spells disaster

January 31, 2022 17 min read
1
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Latest Last
US Dollar 305.1018 305.3339
UK Pound 386.9523 387.2371
Euro 330.8712 332.1141
Aus Dollar 201.0018 201.4980
Yen 2.0266 2.0278
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
Latest Last
Indian Rupee 3.6453 3.5932
Korea Won 0.2342 0.2292
Oman Rial 780.3569 769.4973
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Source: Central Bank/Indicative
pts %
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CSE All Share 9,073.41 0.65%
Turnover Rs million 1,591,766,524.95 1,029,335,694.32
Source: CSE
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3-m bill 21.72 21.79
6-m bill 19.55 20.31
12-m bill 17.72 19.28
5-yr bond 21.00 22.53
8-yr bond 19.42 20.55
Source: Central Bank/Indicative
today yesterday
Overnight Money 13.93 14.00
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Source: Central Bank/Indicative

Sri Lanka has to hike rates, before a float to end forex crisis: Bellwether

At the current policy rates and sterilization of interventions, forex problems will not get better

Bellwether
January 18, 2022 16 min read

Sri Lanka should prepare to float, and promote parallel dollarization: Bellwether

The proposal to import cars with dollar earnings and pay taxes in dollars is absolutely correct

December 21, 2021 16 min read

Why the Sri Lanka rupee is depreciating creating currency crises: Bellwether

A Bellwether FAQ on the dangerous lack of note-issue banking know-how

Bellwether
November 9, 2021 27 min read
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How Sri Lanka's IMF-backed 'Young Plan' fired a foreign debt death spiral: Bellwether

In all years with inflationary policy, debt after foreign reserves went up

Bellwether
September 16, 2021 18 min read

Sri Lanka's monetary meltdown will accelerate unless quick action is taken: Bellwether

Debt re-structuring to reduce gross financing needs will help

Bellwether
August 18, 2021 19 min read

Sri Lanka Minister follows Diocletian after printing money, but stops short of death penalty

Diocletian minted in copper in plenty what was scarce in silver, Sri Lanka is pumping liquidity in paper

Bellwether
August 13, 2021 5 min read

Sri Lanka economy bought to tipping point by monetary fallacies: Bellwether

Mercantilist fallacies have devasted countries at peace

Bellwether
August 11, 2021 21 min read

Sri Lanka to pick losers as omniscient elites drive interventionism to extremes: Bellwether

'A new type of superstition has got hold of people's minds, the worship of the state'

Bellwether
July 30, 2021 7 min read

Sri Lanka's central bank should guard against bankruptcy as Fed lights commodity fires

Sri Lanka's central bank is running out of reserves, a part of the remaining reserves are tied up in swaps, the country ...

Bellwether
April 19, 2021 25 min read

Sri Lanka debt crisis trapped in spurious Keynesian 'transfer problem' and MMT: Bellwether

In Sri Lanka politicians are blamed for the country's economic ills and rising default risk, but it is only partly their...

Bellwether
March 15, 2021 23 min read